As the NFL enters Week 13, analysts from Pro Football Focus (PFF) have identified key betting opportunities for fans and bettors alike. Utilizing the PFF Player Prop Tool, which aggregates real-time projections and matchup data, analysts have pinpointed several standout player performances to consider when placing bets this week.
Key Player Prop Bets for Week 13
Drake Maye of the New England Patriots is drawing attention with a line of over 4.5 carries, priced at -155 via BetMGM. Maye has consistently exceeded this mark, surpassing 10 rushing yards in each of his last ten games. Compounding this favorable outlook is the New York Giants’ current ranking as the league’s worst run-defense team, according to PFF’s metrics. Notably, any late-game kneel-downs would further inflate his carry total, making this bet particularly appealing.
Another noteworthy pick comes from analyst TreVeyon Henderson, also from the New England Patriots, who is projected to exceed 14.5 carries at -130. Henderson has maintained a steady workload, recording at least 14 carries in his last four games. Even with the return of Rhamondre Stevenson, Henderson led the backfield with 18 attempts against the New York Giants, a team that has struggled defensively against the run.
Additional Insights and Bets to Watch
Travis Etienne Jr. of the Jacksonville Jaguars is favored to surpass 57.5 rushing yards at odds of -115. Since their Week 8 bye, the Jaguars have been one of the top teams in the league for rushing attempts. Etienne has been a key contributor, with a strong performance of 15 carries for 86 yards in his last outing. Facing a Tennessee Titans defense ranked 26th in yards allowed per carry, the game script appears favorable for him, particularly with Jacksonville favored by over six points.
Wide receiver Khalil Shakir of the Buffalo Bills is also on the radar, with a line of over 4.5 receptions at -110. Shakir has demonstrated consistent performance, recording six or more receptions in four of his last five games. This week, he faces a Pittsburgh Steelers defense that has been vulnerable against opposing receivers, making it likely that Shakir will be a primary target, especially if teammate Dalton Kincaid’s status remains uncertain.
Amid the quarterback landscape, Shedeur Sanders from the Cleveland Browns is projected to complete over 14.5 passes at odds of -114. As he prepares for his second career start against the San Francisco 49ers, the Cleveland offense may lean more heavily on the passing game, given that they are 5.5-point underdogs. Despite a limited passing attempt in his debut, Sanders has the potential to exploit a 49ers defense that ranks poorly in pass-rush and coverage metrics.
Lastly, the Washington Commanders’ Marcus Mariota is anticipated to fall under 1.5 passing touchdowns, priced at -250. The Broncos defense has proven formidable this season, allowing only two quarterbacks to surpass this threshold through 12 weeks. Although Mariota has performed adequately in relief, he has only achieved multiple touchdowns in two of his five starts.
As Week 13 unfolds, bettors can utilize these insights from PFF analysts to make informed decisions. The combination of expert analysis and real-time data from the PFF Player Prop Tool ensures that fans and bettors have the tools necessary to enhance their NFL experience.
